Weather Report
Course over Atlantic Basin with Barametric Overlay
Route: Providence, RI to Cork, Ireland Position: nr 49n/29w at 06utc Mon, June 26 Prepared: 1400 UTC Mon, June 26 Summary: wind diminishes in the next 24-30 hrs or so, but then increases again from SW to S ahead of the front during Wed 1) Weak trough/front of low pressure (only 1016 mb) is located to the E and NE along/close to 22-23w, while big high pressure (1036 mb) resides to the SW near 41n/37w 2) trough/front moves east to 17-18w in the next 24-30 hrs, while narrow ridge axis expands to the NE 3) Look for the brisk/moderate W or W-NW flow to diminish and turn more right into the NW later tonight into Tue. a) Wind speeds down to <20 knots in the next 12 hrs or so. 4) front/trough continues moving east, but will be another front heading to the E and SE 5) Wind shifts into the SW and then increases from the S-SW to S ahead of this next front on Wed. a) Think wind speeds will reach into the 20s, and b) Could be a few gusts over 30 knots, especially near/ahead of any showers/squalls 6) But the front does weak as it approaches later Wed or into Thu. 7) Not sure if this front catches up with you, but look for lighter S to possible S-SE winds ahead of this front as you approach Cork. a) If the front passes, then look out for wind shift into NW, but b) Wind speeds would be only in the 8-15 kts range Routing?think you can continue with close to rhumb line route to Cork. Waypoints listed below Wind forecast Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC Mon, June 26 18: 270-290/20-28 Weather?Variable lower cloudiness, chance of some drizzle or light showers Seas building to 10-14 ft, wind wave chop with W-NW swell Tue, June 27 00: 280-300/24-15 06: 300-330/13-18 12: 300-330/12-17 nr 50 15n/20 40w 18: 270-290/10-15 Weather?Variable lower passing clouds Seas down to 7-10 ft, W-NW or W swell Wed, June 28 00: 230-260/ 7-13 06: 220-190/ 16-23 12: 170-200/ 20-32 nr 51n/14w 18: 200-230/ 16-24, squally Weather?becoming cloudy with increasing chance of showers/squalls Seas down to 5-8 ft, less swell, but rougher wind wave chop Thu, June 29 - front moves east, but slows down/stalls west of you!! 00: 200-230/ 10-16, chance of bcmg 300-330 if front passes to the east 06: 190-230/ 8-13 or less 12: 160-180/12-17 arrive Cork 18: 150-170/12-17 Weather?Variable to mostly cloudy with scattered showers and possible some squally conditions Seas 5-8 ft, but down to 2-5 ft approaching Cork Fri, June 30 - vicinity or off Cork 00: 150-180/8-14 12: 150-180/6-12 Weather?Variable to mostly cloudy with a few showers Seas down to 2-4 ft offshore Route: Providence, RI to Cork, Ireland Position: nr 45n/48 25w at 12utc Wed, June 21 Prepared: 16utc Wed, June 21 Summary: Looks like your nice weather pattern will continue into early next week. 1) Central Atlantic (Azores) high is the main feature on the weather map this morning. 2) At 12 utc Wed it was located near 42n/39w and will tend to mill around in this area thru the weekend into early next week. a) Position by Sunday near 44n/38w 3) As you cross the central Atlantic you will be going over the top of this high. 4) Expect your winds will tend to clock into the WSW on Thursday and as you get east of the longitude of the high on Friday your breeze should continue to clock into the W-NW 5) Wind speeds will come down as you get closer to the high likely diminishing to 10 kts or less Thursday night/Friday. 6) Then Saturday as you continue east away from the nearly stationary high your breeze should build again into the 15 kt range from WNW. 7) Sunday there may be a little disturbance track SE east of your position. a) If correct this could enhance your breeze to 18-25 kts for a time Sat night/early Sunday. b) Direction may trend to more NW-NNW direction. 8) If not correct you likely will continue with WNW wind in the 15 kt range. 9) Either way winds early next week likely back to a more westerly direction likely in the 10-20 kt range. 10) So no big storms or frontal systems to deal with into early next week. Routing?When winds go into the W Thursday you can go onto port and head for Cork- waypoints below. You should be able to clear any potential ice. Wind forecast Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC Wed, June 21 18: 200-220/15-20 Weather?Variable cloudiness Seas 3-5 feet Thu, June 22 00: 210-230/15-20 06: 220-240/12-17 12: 240-260/10-15 nr 45n/42 30w 18: 250-270/ 8-12 Weather?Partly cloudy Seas 3-5 feet, SW swell Fri, June 23 00: 260-280/ 5-10 06: 280-300/ 5-10 12: 280-300/ 5-10 nr 46 20n/37w 18: 280-300/ 5-10 Weather?Partly cloudy to fair Seas 3-5 feet WSW swell Sat, June 24 00: 280-300/ 5-10 06: 270-290/ 8-12 12: 270-290/12-17 nr 47 20n/32 20w 18: 280-300/12-17 Weather?Partly cloudy Seas 3-5 feet Sun, June 25 00: 280-300/15-20 06: 270-290/18-25 12: 320-340/12-17 nr 48 40nn/27 20w 18: 320-340/12-17 Weather?Partly cloudy Seas 4-7 feet, NW swell developing Mon, June 26 00: 320-340/ 10-15 12: 260-280/ 12-20 nr 49 40n/22w Weather?Partly cloudy Seas 3-5 feet Route: Providence, RI to Cork, Ireland Position: near 44n/60w at 18utc Sun, June 18 Prepared: 1630utc Sun, June 18 Summary: 1) The current weather map shows a large high pressure system centered near 40n/43w with a ridge axis extending west to the Carolina coasts. 2) You are in a good position on the NW side of this high where there will continue to be good winds both in speed and direction. 3) This high will generally stay in place over the next several days and will tend to grow stronger and become more expansive with time. 4) Meanwhile, you will have a weak warm front kind of riding NE along with you today through Monday night with winds going back and forth between SSW and SSE. 5) You should finally break away from this warm front by Tuesday morning with winds increasing from the SW as a cold front moves into southeast Canada and New England tightening up the pressure gradient. 6) A gusty SW wind should continue for you into Wednesday as well before beginning to diminish Thursday as you get east of the tighter gradient. 7) Winds will become more westerly by later in the week as you ride over the top of the high. 8) General weather will feature a chance of showers today and Monday with the weak warm front, then fair and settled after that with high pressure. 9) Seas will feature a light SSE to S swell through Monday night, then building SW swell and chop Tuesday. Routing? 1) Have you gradually getting up to 45n, then heading E along 45n. a) Did not want to take you north of there for now in case of icebergs. 2) Waypoints listed below. Wind forecast Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC Sun, June 18 18: 190-220/12-18 near 44n/60w Weather?Variable clouds, chance of showers Seas 3-5 feet, SSE swell Mon, June 19 00: 180-210/12-18 06: 190-220/10-16 12: 200-230/ 7-14 near 44 25n/57w 18: 180-210/10-16 Weather?Variable clouds, chance of showers Seas 3-5 feet, S swell Tue, June 20 00: 160-190/12-20 06: 170-200/15-22 12: 180-210/18-25 near 44 45n/53w 18: 200-230/18-25 Weather?Variably to partly cloudy Seas building to 5-9 feet, increasing SSW swell and chop Wed, June 21 00: 200-230/15-25 12: 210-230/15-25 near 45n/49w Weather?Partly cloudy Seas 5-9 feet, SW swell and chop Thu, June 22 00: 210-240/12-20 12: 220-250/10-18 near 45n/45w Weather?Partly cloudy to fair Seas 4-7 feet, SW swell |